Bet On Soccer Games
Below are soccer betting strategies that should help you win some money from the sportsbooks.
Laying the 0-0 Draw
The number of matches that are goalless is remarkably low across all global leagues and this trend presents a good profit making opportunity. In correct score betting the price for 0-0 can be anything from 8/1 to 20/1. The price that is offered is based on statistics for the league and respective scoring records for home and away teams.
If you bet the 37.5 UNDER, you are hoping for a defensive battle and predicting the offenses to struggle. If you bet the 37.5 OVER, you are hoping this will be a high-scoring NFL game. NFL totals betting has become fairly popular in many football games, especially where the spread is very tight. Soccer is a widely-bet sport worldwide and there are a number of different ways to bet an individual game. Betting the 3-way Moneyline: In soccer, there are many types of competitions with varying rules so it’s always good to be informed prior to placing a bet.
Laying the 0-0 draw can be a high risk strategy as a bettor can be risking 100 dollars to win five but with accurate statistics long term profitability is possible. Obviously this strategy must produce enough winning bets to compensate for the costly occasion when the match does not see one goal.
Live television or some updated ticker with ongoing statistics can help. It is wise to take a view at half time to minimise losses. It is far better to give up say 15 dollars in a game with few chances rather than leave the bet to expiry and risk much more.
If the score is 0-0 at half time the flow of the game and number of shots on goal or corners can be assessed to determine whether the bet should be closed or left until the conclusion of the game. However, only about one in five matches do not have a goal before half time so in most cases the bet will be settled as winner before the second half.
Spread Betting on Corners
Betting on how many corners there will be in a footbal match might seem a strange form of gambling. However, with the right statistics big profits can be made from this market. Simply be keeping a note of how many corners a team wins or concedes easy winnings can be generated in the second half of the season of any league.
There are five factors which can be used to determine the total corners in any match:
Attacking tactics
High corner counts often go hand in hand with teams that attack with width.
Defensive tactics
Some teams will play the ball out of the penalty area or head away from goal rather than risk conceding a corner.
Clearing lines
Some sides clear away an attack regardless of whether they concede a corner or not.
Size of pitch
The larger the pitch the greater the width of the touchline and that means more corners.
Weather
Windy weather tends to increase the count but very heavy rain can waterlog the pitch and reduce the count.
These factors and statistics for corner winning abilities create a bank of data that can be applied to spread betting and traditional betting. Spread betting firms will quote a range of corners which can be bought or sold. Traditional bookmakers will quote odds on three bands such as under 11 corners, exactly 11 corners or more than 11 corners.
This approach can be used for domestic matches and international games. Tournaments such as the World Cup, Copa America and European Championship involve many games over a sort period of time. Noting results from the first few matches and carefully applying the extra data concerning playing style, weather and pitch conditions can result in decent profits.
Going Low on Bookings
Towards the end of any football season around the world the fixture list contains many “dead matches”, games that don’t mean much to either team. Sides that cannot qualify for Europe in that continent but are well clear of relegation often have little commitment when they meet.
History proves for example in the English Premiership that the last weeks of the season produce far fewer red and yellow cards than any other period. Bookmakers price up bookings for all matches shown live on television. They use a scoring system that awards 10 points for a yellow card and 25 points for a red card.
In England from February until the end of the season in May many games are sure to end with much lower total bookings points than the average for the whole of the season. Spread betting and normal betting firms are obviously aware of this but often matches are still overestimated in terms of the number of cards shown by the referee.
Before betting in this market it is also advisable to consider another vital factor and that is the referee. Some refs produce cards far more than others but it is best to look for low-carding referees. That means the ideal game to make consistent profits involves both teams safe from relegation or not challenging for the title refereed by a low carding official.
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Laying the Underdog When They Score First
Soccer markets managed by the exchange betting firms are suspended when a significant event occurs. This generally means a goal, penalty or sending off as these events will have a substantial bearing on the outcome of any match.
This strategy can be applied to any soccer league or international match as the markets tend to react in the same way across all countries, leagues and tournaments. The favourites are most likely to score the first goal in any match but sometimes the underdog will be the first to register.
As a general rule it is good strategy to lay an underdog when their price goes to even money (2.0) or less. The first goal is often key to determining the outcome of any match. However, the average number of goals across all leagues is about 2.5 goals. The first successful strike will be the only goal in about 30% of all matches.
The prices will generally over adjust after a goal but any discrepancies or errors will soon be eliminated as the market recreates the correct balance. Therefore the first minute after a goal is scored by the underdog is the limited window of opportunity to follow this strategy.
Arbitrage Opportunities
In economic theory arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of a state of imbalance between two or more markets by making deals in those markets at the same time to exploit the imbalance. In betting terms arbing is when a bettor guarantees a risk-free position by backing a selection at high odds while laying it at lower odds elsewhere.
Soccer exchange betting provides a great deal of scope to take advantage of arb opportunities. This is due to the fact that the sport is the most extensively covered by traditional online bookmakers and exchange operators. Betfair offers soccer betting on almost fifty countries and more than 200 leagues.
In its simplest form soccer arbing involves backing a team to win at 6/4 with a traditional bookmaker and laying them to win at 5/4 with an exchange. Stakes are determined to ensure a winning bet regardless of the outcome. The overall profit margin may be as little as 3% but this is guaranteed and the process can be repeated many times.
With such an array of matches covered the sport will provide most opportunities to take advantage of price differentials. The discrepancy might be minimal and profit margin small but many people around the world try to make a living from arbitraging.
It is now possible to buy software packages that constantly monitor the global soccer markets and highlight these risk-free opportunities. Gambling bots can now be used to place bets automatically and cancel any potential bets when the price differences quickly disappear as the market adjusts. One potential drawback with manual arbing is that prices mat change during the process of placing each bet and that is why a fast internet section is necessary to make profits through arbitrage.
Introduction:
In this article, we will be explaining how to bet on soccer. We’ll explain the numerous methods to bet on soccer and the terminology commonly used. Soccer is a widely-bet sport worldwide and there are a number of different ways to bet an individual game.
Betting the 3-way Moneyline:
In soccer, there are many types of competitions with varying rules so it’s always good to be informed prior to placing a bet. In most competitions, draws may be the final result of the game, so there are 3 different outcomes to bet on between Team A and Team B:
Team A wins
Team B wins
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Team A and Team B draw
Soccer bets are based on results after 90 minutes of play or, ‘Regular Time’, which includes any time added by the referee in respect of injuries and other stoppages. Any Overtime, Golden Goals or Penalty Shoot-Outs do not count towards these betting since they are not considered ‘Regular Time’. For example, in the elimination stages of the World Cup, a winner is required in the tournament in order to progress to the next stage, but all bets are settled on 90 minutes of play (Regular Time). Thus, a draw is a possible outcome to bet on even in a game where one team must be eliminated. An example of what a 3-way moneyline would look like is:
France -129
Switzerland +325
Draw +250
Betting the 2-way Moneyline without the Draw:
Another way of betting soccer is to take the 2-way moneyline, also known as “Draw, No Bet” This is betting on the outcome of the game without the Draw. The two possible wagers are:
Team A wins
Team B wins
This form of betting eliminates the option of the Draw, and will likely have inflated odds on the favorite and deflated odds on the underdog to win the match since a draw results in no bet. For example, in a World Cup match between France and Switzerland, odds on the 2-way moneyline would like look:
France -310
Switzerland +272
As you can see, there is no option to bet on the draw, and if the game ends in a draw, the bet is refunded or “No-Actioned”, and is as if the bet was never placed.
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Betting Goal Lines:
Similar to betting the 2-way moneyline (without the draw), the Goal Line is a way for bettors to win a bet on multiple outcomes of the game. Goal Lines are similar to Puck Lines in hockey and Point Spreads in football or basketball. A Goal Line is typically 0.5 goals but for games with big favorites, the Goal Line may be 1,1.5, 2, 2.5, 3 and so on. A World Cup match between Argentina and Iran looks like this:
Argentina -2.5 goals (+110)
Iran +2.5 goals (-120)
If you bet Argentina -2.5 goals, then to win the bet they must win by 3 goals or more. On the other side, betting Iran +2.5 goals means to win the bet, Iran can win, draw, or lose by 1 or 2 goals.
Betting Totals:
Totals in soccer work differently than other sports and can be shown in multiples of .25 goals. Since scoring is minimal in soccer, bookmakers will often times set a Total of 2.25 or 2.75. For example, if you bet on the Over 2.25 goals, half your bet is placed on “Over 2” and the other half of the bet is placed on “Over 2.5”. If the game settles on 2, you lose half your bet (Over 2.5) and refunded the other half (Over 2). If the game settles on 3, you win both bets (Over 2 and Over 2.5).
Another example is if you bet on the Under 2.75 goals. In this example, half your bet is placed on the Under 2.5 goals and the other half is bet on the Under 3 goals. If the game lands on 3, you’d lose half your bet (Under 2.5) and refunded the other half (Under 3).